Tuesday, January 22, 2013

Oscar Winners Predictions & Buzz - Musical Techs

  As always, the buzz comes first, with previous rankings listed in parenthesis.  My predictions and commentary follow in the second list.  It's still early in the game;  don't be surprised if I change my mind before my final predictions.

Best Original Song
     I went on YouTube and listened to all of these right before I wrote this.  Just saying...
  1.(2) "Skyfall" from Skyfall - Adele Adkins and Paul Epworth
  2.(1) "Suddenly" from Les Miserables - Claude-Michel Schonberg, Herbert Kretzmer, and Alain Boublil
  3.(9) "Everybody Needs a Best Friend" from Ted - Walter Murphy and Seth McFarland
  4. "Before My Time" from Chasing Ice - J. Ralph
  5. "Pi's Lullaby" from Life of Pi - Mychael Danna and Bombay Jayashri

  1. "Skyfall" - Sure, this song won the Critic's Choice and the Globe, but the real advantage that it has going for it is Adele.  Everybody loves Adele, the marriage of her sultry 60's throwback voice and stylings to the bond franchise was an inspired move, and she adds a refreshing atmosphere of grace and humility to any awards show.
  2. "Before My Time" - I know this is really illogical at this point, but check the song out and then tell me I'm completely crazy, or tell me now, I don't care.  If enough members who vote actually listen to all five songs, I think it has a shot.  Almost as haunting as the first time I heard Skyfall, if not quite as catchy.
  3. "Pi's Lullaby" - 11 nominations (3 above the line, 8 below) indicates widespread support for this film in multiple branches.  It could pick up any number of awards, and while this is one of the least likely categories for that to happen in, it could.
  4. "Suddenly" - I know, I know, it's still one of my two favorite musicals of all time (even if I still haven't seen the film) but the song does not stand up to "I Dreamed a Dream", "One Day More", "On My Own", "Stars", or even "Master of the House".  All it has is Best Picture nominee buzz, and that is waning.
  5. "Everybody Needs a Best Friend" - Nominated as a token shout out to host Seth MacFarlane, and a bid to get Norah Jones singing live at the show.
  Should have been nominated:  Something, anything from Lawless.  Seriously.

Best Original Score
  1.(2) Life of Pi - Mychael Danna
  2.(1) Lincoln - John Williams
  3.(5) Anna Karenina - Dario Marianelli
  4.(4) Argo - Alexander Desplat
  5. Skyfall - Thomas Newman
     And I say...
  1. Life of Pi - Mychael Danna may stand little chance of winning in Song, but he does seem to have the momentum in this category right now.  I know that the Globes don't determine the Oscars by any stretch, but this time I think that they might match up.
  2. Argo - Alexander Desplat could easily benefit from the overdue factor.  In the last seven years he has been nominated five times (and it might have been six if he hadn't refused to submit any of his works from last year) but has yet to win.  He is definitely one of the most celebrated (and nominated) composers in the modern age of film and this could well be his year.
  3. Lincoln - This is John Williams' forty-eighth nomination, although a handful of those were for Song.  He has won five times, three working with Lincoln helmer Spielberg (Jaws, E.T., and Schindler's List), as well for Star Wars and Fiddler On The Roof.  He won the Critics' Choice, but I have a sneaking suspicion that the Academy may feel that with five wins under his belt, the bar is set just a little higher for this living legend.
  4. Skyfall - If the buzz weren't so low for this picture, I might have to predict Thomas Newman on the overdue factor alone.  This is his eleventh nomination, and he has yet to win.  Previous nods include memorable music from WALL*E, American Beauty, and The Shawshank Redemption.
  5. Anna Karenina - This is Dario Marianelli's third nomination, and each time has been for a collaboration with director Joe Wright.  Still, this composer has only recently come to prominence and already has a win under his belt for Atonement (also nominated for Pride and Prejudice).
  Should have been nominated:  Beasts of the Southern Wild - Benh Zietlen...If they were gonna go for Director and Adapted Screenplay, surely they could have given the year's most exciting new film maker the trifecta of nominations that he so richly deserved.

Related Posts:  Oscar Winner Predictions & Buzz: Of Snubs and Triumphs (preview), 23? You Don't Play Like a Sequel Over 2. (Skyfall review), Ted Butters up the Polisse (Ted review), Fantasy Life of Pi?Elena's Brave Law (Lawless review), Anna Conundruma (Anna Karenina), I Think You "Argo"ing to!Love It!Best That The Summer Wields (Beasts of the Southern Wild)

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