Monday, February 18, 2013

Oscar Winners Predictions & Buzz - Actor & Actress

     With just under a week left until the Academy Awards we are rapidly running out of time.  Fortunately, I'm also running out of categories to cover.  As always, the buzz appears first, with former rankings appearing in parenthesis.  I'll try to find something new to say on the second lists. Let's start with the boring race...

Best Actor
  1.(1) Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln
  2.(5) Hugh Jackman - Les Miserables
  3.(3) Joaquin Phoenix - The Master
  4.(4) Denzel Washington - Flight
  5.(6) Bradley Cooper - Silver Linings Playbook
  Leaving the Rankings:  John Hawkes - The Sessions, Anthony Hopkins - Hitchcock, Richard Gere - Arbitrage, Bill Murray - Hyde Park On Hudson, Jean-Louis Trintignent - Amour
     I don't really have ALL that much to change here...
  1. Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln...The only reason that I call this a boring race is because we've had the same front runner ALL year, and KNOWN he would be the winner since the movie premiered.  There is certainly nothing boring about his performance; it is a marvel.  Congratulations to Mr. Day-Lewis as he becomes the first man ever to win three Best Actor Oscars.  I can't begrudge you.
  2. Hugh Jackman - Les Miserables...Nobody really has a serious shot at dethroning Lincoln in this category, but Jackman DOES give a transforming, probably career changing turn in this film.  Sadly, it looks like earning his first nomination will have to suffice for this year.
  3. Bradley Cooper - Silver Linings Playbook...Another first time nominee whose career has probably just changed forever.  Buzz for the film has surged of late, and you never know with the Weinstein Company handling the campaign.
  4. Joaquin Phoenix - The Master...Every now and then (for reasons unknown), the Academy suddenly takes a shine to someone who has thumbed their nose at the Oscars.  Just ask Woody Allen.  Phoenix's comments left him on the outside looking in for the entire awards cycle, but there is a MINUTE chance that forgiveness might come at the last second.  Of course, you could argue that it already did when they gave him the nomination.
  5. Denzel Washington - Flight...Mr. Washington gave a GREAT performance in an okay film, and the Academy giving him his sixth nomination for it certainly indicates that they are open to the idea of awarding him with that uber-rare third win...someday.

Best Actress
  1.(1) Jennifer Lawrence - Silver Linings Playbook
  2.(2) Jessica Chastain - Zero Dark Thirty
  3.(5) Emmanuelle Riva - Amour
  4.(4) Quvenzhane Wallis - Beasts of the Southern Wild
  5.(6) Naomi Watts - The Impossible
  Leaving the Rankings:  Marion Cotillard - Rust and Bone, Keira Knightley - Anna Karenina, Helen Mirren - Hitchcock, Rachel Weisz - The Deep Blue Sea
     This race is so wide open, I can't even believe it.  Let me explain...
  1. Emmanuelle Riva - Amour...It was several month back when I first heard the idea proposed that Lawrence and Chastain might cancel each other out, leaving room for Riva (or Wallis, it was thought at the time) to slide in and take the victory.  I scoffed, but Riva's momentum in the last few weeks has been incredible.  I'm still not SURE that it will be enough to secure a win, but it's looking more likely by the hour.
  2. Jennifer Lawrence - Silver Linings Playbook...Of course, Riva had a LOT of ground to cover to catch the awards train that has been JLAWRENCE2012.  It is quite possible that this highly talented actress will still walk home with the gold.
  3. Jessica Chastain - Zero Dark Thirty...That being said, Ms. Chastain is still in this race too, and I might be predicting her to win by Saturday.
  4. Naomi Watts - The Impossible...Ms. Watts has gotten a lot of very vocal support within the industry, but I think her buzz just got going too late.  Still, in a year where the votes are going to be all over the place anyway, anything is possible.
  5. Quvenzhane Wallis - Beasts of the Southern Wild...Still might be my personal favorite of the year, but she's young and working with director Steve McQueen this year ensures she doesn't disappear after one film.  Still, the film has a lot of love.

Related Posts:   Oscar Winner Predictions & Buzz: Of Snubs and Triumphs (preview), Musical Techs (Score and Song), Noisy Techs (Sound Editing & Sound Mixing), Pretty People Techs (Costume Design & Make-Up and Hairstyling), Pretty Picture Techs (Cinematography & Production Design), Finishing Touch Techs (Editing & Visual Effects), Toons of Any Length (Animated Feature & Animated Short), Docs of Any Length (Documentary Feature & Documentary Short), Screenplays (Adapted & Original), Supporting Players (Supporting Actor & Supporting Actress), "Lincoln" PerksBest That the Summer Wields? (Beasts of the Southern Wild review), Acting Master Classes in Private "Sessions"Didn't Quite Take "Flight"Can You "Master" Your Nature?Henry's Invisible Arbitrage (Arbitrage review), Hide Prep For Harem (Hyde Park On Hudson review), "Impossible"y Well CraftedAnna Conundruma (Anna Karenina review), Deep Part of Safety (The Deep Blue Sea review), December Oscar Buzz & Predictions - Actor & Actress

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